[1]陈培彬,朱朝枝.非农就业会促进农村居民家庭的消费升级吗？——基于收入与偏好效应理论的实证检验[J].江苏农业学报,2021,(03):772-782.[doi:doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4440.2021.03.029]
　CHEN Pei-bin,ZHU Chao-zhi.Will non-agricultural employment promote the consumption upgrading of rural households?—An empirical test based on the theory of income and preference effect[J].,2021,(03):772-782.[doi:doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4440.2021.03.029]
点击复制

非农就业会促进农村居民家庭的消费升级吗？——基于收入与偏好效应理论的实证检验()
分享到：

江苏农业学报[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2021年03期
页码:
772-782
栏目:
农业经济·农业信息
出版日期:
2021-06-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Will non-agricultural employment promote the consumption upgrading of rural households?—An empirical test based on the theory of income and preference effect
作者:
陈培彬1; 朱朝枝1; 2
（1.福建农林大学经济管理学院，福建福州350002；2.福建农林大学新农村发展研究院，福建福州350002）
Author(s):
CHEN Pei-bin1; ZHU Chao-zhi1; 2
(1.School of Economics and Management, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China;2.New Rural Development Institute of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China)
关键词:
非农就业; 收入效应; 偏好效应; 农村居民; 消费升级
Keywords:
non-agricultural employment; income effect; preference effect; rural residents; consumption upgrading
分类号:
D422.7
DOI:
doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4440.2021.03.029
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了回答非农就业是否能够释放农村消费市场潜力、优化家庭消费结构的现实问题，基于中国家庭追踪调查（CFPS） 2018数据，综合运用OLS、分位数回归与中介效应等计量模型，实证检验非农就业对农村居民家庭消费升级的影响机制。结果表明：（1）非农就业显著提高了农村居民家庭消费水平以及发展与享受型消费的结构占比，这一结论在利用“是否有工资性收入”替换关键变量进行稳健性检验后依然成立。（2）异质性分析结果表明，非农就业对农村居民家庭消费升级的影响系数随着家庭纯收入的上升而明显递增且始终显著为正，此外，影响效应呈现西部地区最高，中部地区次之、东部地区稍差的差异化格局。（3）非农就业对农村居民家庭消费升级的影响会通过家庭收入增加与社会资本积累的中介作用实现。
Abstract:
To answer the practical question of whether non-agricultural employment can release the consumption potential of rural market and optimize the household consumption structure, econometric models such as ordinary least square (OLS), quantile regression and intermediary effect were used to empirically test the impact mechanism of non-agricultural employment on rural household consumption upgrading comprehensively based on China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) data in 2018. The results showed that, (1) non-agricultural employment significantly increased the total household consumption and the proportion of development and enjoyment consumption structure for rural residents. The above conclusion was still valid after using “wage income” to replace the key variables for robustness test. (2) Heterogeneity analysis showed that, the impact coefficient of non-agricultural employment on the upgrading of rural household consumption increased significantly with the increase of household net income, and was always significantly positive. In addition, the impact effect in the western region was the highest, followed by the central region, and later in the eastern region, which showed a differentiation pattern. (3) The impact of non-agricultural employment on the upgrading of rural household consumption will be realized through the intermediary role of the increase of family income and the accumulation of social capital.

参考文献/References:

[1]周学. 构建“微观、中观、宏观三位一体”的经济学理论体系——兼论破解我国内需不足的方略[J].经济学动态,2014(4):18-40.
[2]王一鸣. 百年大变局、高质量发展与构建新发展格局[J].管理世界,2020,36(12):1-13.
[3]张恒龙,姚其林. 基于城乡居民消费行为分析视角的扩大内需研究[J].求是学刊,2020,47(1):62-74,181.
[4]骆永民,骆熙,汪卢俊. 农村基础设施、工农业劳动生产率差距与非农就业[J].管理世界,2020,36(12):91-121.
[5]国家统计局农村社会经济调查司.中国农村统计年鉴2019[J].北京:中国统计出版社,2019．
[6]李涛,陈斌开. 家庭固定资产、财富效应与居民消费:来自中国城镇家庭的经验证据[J].经济研究,2014,49(3):62-75.
[7]魏后凯,芦千文. 新冠肺炎疫情对“三农”的影响及对策研究[J].经济纵横,2020(5):36-45,2.
[8]JOHNSON D G. Comparability of labor capacities of farm and nonfarm labor[J]. The American Economic Review,1953,43(3): 296-313.
[9]JOHN R H,MICHAEL P T. Migration, unemployment and development: A two-sector analysis[J]. The American Economic Review,1970,60(1): 126-142.
[10]BRUCE L G. Economic growth and low incomes in agriculture[J]. American Journal of Agricultural Economics,2000,82(5): 1059-1074.
[11]钟甫宁,何军. 增加农民收入的关键:扩大非农就业机会[J].农业经济问题,2007(1):62-70,112.
[12]蔡洁,刘斐,夏显力. 农村产业融合、非农就业与农户增收——基于六盘山的微观实证[J].干旱区资源与环境,2020,34(2):73-79.
[13]张海霞. 电子商务发展、非农就业转移与农民收入增长[J].贵州社会科学,2020(10):126-134.
[14]JOEL W. Preference externalities: An empirical study of who benefits whom in differentiated-product markets[J]. The Rand Journal of Economics,2003,34(3): 557-568.
[15]王萍,张亚欣,张金锁. 非农就业对农户生活能源转型的影响路径[J].人口与经济,2020(6):121-132.
[16]刘一伟,刁力. 社会资本、非农就业与农村居民贫困[J].华南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2018,17(2):61-71.
[17]周建,杨秀祯. 我国农村消费行为变迁及城乡联动机制研究[J].经济研究,2009,44(1):83-95,105.
[18]GALOR O,STARK O. The probability of return migration, migrants’ work effort, and migrants’ performance[J]. Galor Oded Stark Oded,1991,35(2): 399-405.
[19]MA Z D. Urban labour-force experience as a determinant of rural occupation change: Evidence from recent urban-rural return migration in China[J]. Environment and Planning A,2001,33(2): 237-255.
[20]石智雷,杨云彦. 外出务工对农村劳动力能力发展的影响及政策含义[J].管理世界,2011(12):40-54.
[21]钟成林. 城乡居民收入差距对于居民的消费示范效应影响研究——基于GMM方法的实证分析[J].上海经济研究,2015(12):105-114.
[22]温忠麟,张雷,侯杰泰,等. 中介效应检验程序及其应用[J].心理学报,2004(5):614-620.
[23]周广肃,樊纲,申广军. 收入差距、社会资本与健康水平——基于中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)的实证分析[J].管理世界,2014(7):12-21,51,187.
[24]岳雪峰，王运圣. “宽带乡村”建设模式:国际经验及其启示[J]．江苏农业科学，2019，47(11)：17-23．

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2021-03-29基金项目：农业农村部重大农技推广项目(KN16013A)；福建省科技厅软科学项目（2018R0106）作者简介：陈培彬（1994-），男，福建泉州人，博士研究生，研究方向为农业经济理论与政策、农村发展。(E-mail)137655767@qq.com通讯作者：朱朝枝，(E-mail)3796826＠163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-07-05